Tag: sports

Saturday Picks: Victoria Cup, Haydock Double + a 33/1 Each-Way Punt – Saturday May 10, 2026 | Ascot & Haydock

It’s been a tough week on the P&L — the golf has punished us thus far and Chester didn’t play ball — but Saturdays are made for bouncing back! Four selections today across Ascot and Haydock, including a serious each-way play in the Victoria Cup and a big-priced alternative that could pay for the week if it lands a place.

🏇 VICTORIA CUP — ASCOT, 2:25PM

This is the marquee race of the day and we’re splitting the Victoria Cup between two plays.

TRIBAL CHIEF — 11/2 EACH WAY (6 PLACES) — 1PT

The overnight money has been pointing firmly towards Tribal Chief and it’s not hard to see why. Billy Loughnane takes the ride, which is about as encouraging a booking as you can get in this division right now — he’s riding at a different level to most. The horse itself is a natural closer who loves to pick off rivals late in the day, and the draw is very much in his favour. Coming back to seven furlongs in trip could prove the key — he shaped well in the Lincoln on his return and this looks a logical next step. With six places on offer, an each-way interest at 11/2 looks very fair value. This is the banker of the day.

SO DARN HOT — 33/1 EACH WAY (6 PLACES IF AVAILABLE) — 1PT

At 33/1 this is unashamedly a punt, but it’s one grounded in solid reasoning. The horse has dropped 5lbs since his last winning mark and the ground conditions today should be right up his street. It is not a million miles away from his best form and in a competitive handicap like the Victoria Cup, horses at this price regularly hit the frame. With six places being paid out, a 33/1 shot at a fraction of the odds for a place represents exactly the type of each-way value that can transform a Saturday. Only take this if your bookmaker is paying six places — check before you play.

🏇 HAYDOCK, 1:15PM

TELLHERTHENAME — 9/4 WIN — 2PT

Dan Skelton knows how to place a horse and Tellherthename has been dropped to a mark of 133 which looks very workable on the evidence of recent runs. The going at Haydock today should suit and this looks like a confident, straightforward selection. Two points win — no each-way frills needed at this price.

🏇 HAYDOCK, 3:05PM

JEDDAAL — 2/1 WIN — 2PT

Ed Walker has this horse primed and ready. Jeddaal is operating off a mark that flatters the handicapper rather than the horse — it is genuinely quick and has the ability to dominate from the front or close from just off the pace. On a flat, fair track like Haydock there should be no excuses today. Two points win, straightforward confidence play.

The Day in Summary

RaceSelectionOddsBetStake
Ascot 2:25 Victoria CupTribal Chief11/2EW (6 places)1pt (2 total)
Ascot 2:25 Victoria CupSo Darn Hot33/1EW (6 places)1pt (2 total)
Haydock 1:15Tellherthename9/4Win2pt
Haydock 3:05Jeddaal2/1Win2pt

Good luck today. All selections are tracked live on the P&L dashboard — updated after every result. Full model analysis available to Substack subscribers. Follow along and let’s make Saturday count. 🏇

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Chester Cup Friday Selections – May 8, 2026

A full card at Chester today and two selections catching the eye ahead of what should be a busy weekend of action.

3:05 Chester Cup — Zanndabad (8/1 EW, 5 places)

Zanndabad shaped like the unluckiest horse in the race last time out. Drawn in stall 10, he still managed to finish third behind Zoffee — a performance that would have won most renewals if he’d had a clear passage. Chester’s tight, turning track actually suits hold-up horses who can be produced late, and with a cleaner passage expected today, he looks well-handicapped at the top of the market. Each way at 8/1 with five places on offer is exactly the kind of value we can go for though.

3:40 Chester — Miraculous (9/1 EW, 4 places)

Tim Easterby has a fantastic record with horses stepping back up in class after confidence-boosting runs at smaller tracks, and Miraculous fits that profile well. He showed improved form at Catterick and the handicapper hasn’t fully caught up yet. Four each-way places at 9/1 gives plenty of margin, and at that price he’s firmly in the mix.

Both bets are 1pt each way. Saturday promises to be the big day with Ascot’s Victoria Cup — full selections and picks landing here and on the Substack in the morning.

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Twister AI Golf Predictor Landed a Winner and FRL — Now It Goes Again

The Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor could not have started much better.

In its first proper soft-launch test, the model selected Cameron Young for the Cadillac Championship. Not only did Young go on to win the tournament, he also landed as a first-round leader pick.

Winner and FRL on the first card.

That is a ridiculous start — but we are keeping our feet on the ground.

This is still an experiment. The aim is not to claim the model has solved golf betting. The aim is to build a smart, disciplined weekly golf predictor that uses data, course fit, price, form, tee times and weather to identify the best value plays.

This week, the model moves on to the Truist Championship at Quail Hollow.

It is a fascinating test because Quail Hollow appears to favour powerful players who can gain off the tee, while still demanding strong approach play. That means the model has been looking closely at driving distance, overall win probability, top-10/top-20 strength and market value.

We have locked the four main outright selections for the Truist Championship, plus two smaller DP World Tour bonus plays in Barcelona. These will also now start to form part of the overall P&L record going forward.

Two of the names on this week’s Truist card are:

  • Xander Schauffele
  • Cameron Young

The full card includes:

  • 4 Truist Championship outright picks
  • 2 DP World Tour Barcelona bonus picks
  • staking notes
  • reasoning for every selection
  • FRL picks to follow once tee times/weather are confirmed

The first-round leader picks are being held back until Round 1 tee times are available. That is deliberate. FRL betting is very sensitive to weather waves, and after last week’s success, we are sticking to the process rather than guessing early.

To get the full Week 2 card, sign up here:

twistertipster.substack.com

The AI predictor started with a bang. Now we see if it can keep finding value.

Please gamble responsibly. Experimental selections only. 18+.

Xander Schauffele

1,000 Guineas Selections – 3 May 2026

The first fillies’ Classic of the season is here, and today’s 1,000 Guineas at Newmarket looks a fascinating puzzle. Nineteen runners are due to go to post over the Rowley Mile, with the ground described as good to firm.  

For Twister Tipster, this looks like a race where the obvious one may simply be the right one — but there is also a very tempting each-way angle at a bigger price.

Selection 1: Precise — 7/4 win

Precise is the win selection.

She was a high-class two-year-old and brings proper Group 1 form into this. Her Fillies’ Mile win over this course and distance last autumn is the standout piece of evidence: she beat Venetian Lace by 3¼ lengths and looked every inch a filly with Classic quality.  

The big question in a race like this is whether you want to take a short price in a 19-runner Classic. Usually, that can be dangerous. But Precise has already shown she handles Newmarket, stays the mile, and has the class edge on what we’ve seen so far.

There are dangers everywhere, but at 7/4, she still looks the most solid winner in the race.

Precise — 7/4 win

Selection 2: The Prettiest Star — 12/1 each-way, 4 places

The each-way pick is The Prettiest Star at 12/1, taking the four places.

She is lightly raced, open to improvement, and already has strong Newmarket form. She won well on debut at Nottingham before finishing a clear second in the Group 2 Rockfel Stakes over 7f at Newmarket, beaten just half a length by Zanthos.  

That Rockfel run makes her interesting here. She travelled like a smart filly, kept finding, and shaped as though the step up to a mile could suit. The racecard comments also suggest she is likely to stay and that there should be more to come.  

At the prices, she makes plenty of appeal as an each-way play. She doesn’t need to beat Precise for the bet to pay — she just needs to run into the frame, and with four places available, she looks the right value alternative.

The Prettiest Star — 12/1 each-way, 4 places

1,000 Guineas

Precise — 7/4 win
The Prettiest Star — 12/1 each-way, 4 places

As always, selections are for interest and opinion. 18+

Punchestown and Ascot – Horse Racing Selections for May 1, 2026

What a week it’s been! Two winners yesterday at Punchestown, and if you’ve been following the AI golf bot on the Substack, Cameron Young landed at 20/1 as first round leader at the Cadillac Championship. The AI tool is doing exactly what it’s built to do.

Right — let’s get into today’s picks…

Funiculi Funicula at Punchestown 5:25 — 4/1 Each Way (5 places)

Willie Mullins dominates Punchestown Festival week, and this gelding is a prime example of why. Fast, jumps well, and has been successful over both hurdles and fences. Four to one each way with five places on offer is a cracking each way bet. This is the pick of the day.

Dosman at Ascot 5:30 — 9/2 Each Way (4 places available)

We’ve backed Dosman before and he’s delivered. The overnight support has come in — always a positive sign — and the key question is whether he can transfer his all-weather form to the turf. We think he can. Shop around for the four place terms as not all firms are offering them.

Looking Ahead

Big weekend incoming. The 2,000 Guineas and the Kentucky Derby are both on Saturday — it doesn’t get much bigger than that in racing. Full selections will be on the Substack too as well as here — make sure you’re subscribed so you don’t miss them.

Good luck today, 18+. 🏇

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Punchestown Day 3 Horse Racing — Three Each-Way Selections (30 April 2026)

Day three of the Punchestown Festival and we have three each-way plays that we really like. All logged in the P&L tracker from the off.

3.40 Busselton — 9/2 each way (3 places) Busselton won this exact race last year and everything points to connections having targeted this again. Darragh O’Keeffe takes the ride — hard to leave out at the price.

4.15 Karl Des Tourelles — 7/1 each way (5 places) Ran a stormer at Cheltenham before getting badly hampered and running out of room. Drops in class today and gets five places to play with — this is a massive each-way opportunity.

4.50 Come Walk With Me — 7/1 each way (5 places) A fast, classy horse who caught the eye at Fairyhouse last month. Punchestown should suit her well and again we get five places each way.

Total outlay: 6pts (1pt each way x 3) All bets logged in the P&L tracker — results updated tonight.

18+ | Bet responsibly | Past results do not guarantee future returns

Jack with today’s Punchestown picks

Golf and Horse Racing Selections Including Cadillac PGA and Punchestown – Wednesday April 29, 2026

Good morning – we had a very poor day yesterday at Punchestown with none of the selections doing anything of note. This can happen and it is the nature of horse racing – you sadly have to take your medicine at times just as you enjoy the spoils of the winners.

We are not going to be put off but we will tighten up to just two selections for Punchestown today and given our golf form has been phenomenal, there’s a few picks for the two main events coming up this weekend…

Golf Selections – April 29

Cadillac Championship PGA – Winner

Jake Knapp 28/1 each way (6 places)

Kurt Kitayama 33/1 each way (8 places)

Turkish Open DPWT – Winner

Freddy Shott 55/1 each way (7 places)

Francesco Molinari 60/1 each way (6 places)

Horse Racing Selections – April 29

Punchestown Festival – Day 2, Punchestown

3.05 Simply Natural 6/1 each way (4 places)

4.10 Doctor Steinberg 4/1 each way

18+, be responsible

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Horse Racing Selections Including Punchestown Festival Day 1 – Tuesday April 28, 2026

Good morning – let’s get back to it with some more winners! Today is the start of the annual Punchestown Festival – time to enjoy some jumps before the flat takes over entirely!

Here are some picks for today…

Horse Racing Selections – April 28

Punchestown Festival – Day 1

3.05 Sticwiththeprocess 10/1 each way (6 places)

3.40 Jet to Monte Carlo 11/2 each way (5 places)

4.15 Skylight Hustle 9/2 each way (3 places)

4.50 July Flower 16/1 each way (3 places)

That’s enough for now – I’m going to swerve the trickier races and focus on the each way value. Good luck – 18+

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