Two picks for the 5:18 handicap on Friday 12 June, 2026…
Two each-way selections for York tomorrow evening. Both in the 5:18 handicap — a 20-runner field over 10.5 furlongs on good ground, paying 5 places each way.
Why This Race?
The 5:18 at York ticks every box for our model. A large field means generous each-way terms (5 places at 1/5 odds), the good ground is consistent and fair for all, and 10.5 furlongs suits horses with a staying profile and genuine stamina. With 20 runners, the pace scenario is unpredictable — which means horses drawn low get a natural advantage by avoiding traffic on a straight track.
Both of our selections are drawn in the bottom four stalls. That matters.
Selection 1 — POET’S DAWN — 14/1 EW (5 places)
Trainer: Tim Easterby | Jockey: Sean Kirrane | Draw: 4 of 20
Poet’s Dawn won last time out and Easterby has turned him around quickly — that’s a deliberate move from a trainer who knows his horse is in form and wants to strike while the iron is hot. At 11 years old, this horse has clearly found his level and is thriving.
The key factors our analysis flagged:
- Won last time out, form reads 4-4-9-1-4-1 across his last six runs — he’s been consistently competitive and is winning races
- Stall 4 in a 20-runner field is a significant advantage over this trip at York
- Tim Easterby is one of the most productive trainers in the north and knows how to place horses; a quick turnaround is a positive signal, not a concern
- 14/1 into a 5-place each-way market gives strong place value — even a placed run returns a healthy profit
Stake: 1pt each way
Selection 2 — GLISTENING NIGHTS — 9/1 EW (5 places)
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey | Jockey: Barry McHugh | Draw: 3 of 20
Glistening Nights has been knocking on the door — third then second in his last two starts. He’s the safer of the two picks: a horse whose form says he’ll run into a place, trained by one of the most prolific yards in Britain.
The key factors our analysis flagged:
- Placed in both recent starts (3rd then 2nd) — consistent and reliable for the place part of an each-way selection
- Drawn stall 3 of 20 — the lowest draw of the two selections, excellent position
- The Fahey yard has had 8 winners from their last 61 runners — a healthy strike rate and clearly in form
- Barry McHugh is a regular partner who knows this horse
- 9/1 with 5 places represents solid place equity and a live win chance if he builds on that placed form
Stake: 1pt each way
The Numbers
| Selection | Race | Odds | Type | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poet’s Dawn | 5:18 York | 14/1 | EW | 1pt |
| Glistening Nights | 5:18 York | 9/1 | EW | 1pt |
Total outlay: 4pts (1pt win + 1pt place × 2 selections)
Our Current P&L
Since relaunching with our fully AI-powered approach on 9 June, we’re running at +2.60pts — highlighted by Golden Muse landing at 11/2 each way earlier this week. We’re building carefully and selecting only when the data gives us a compelling reason to act.
Good luck tomorrow. Results posted as soon as the race is run. 🏇
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