Analysis – Selections – Results
Good morning – we had nice winners yesterday with Arapaho Gold (11/4) and Bacio (3/1) storming home for us.
Here are today’s selections for the last day of the York Ebor festival…
Horse Racing Selections – August 22
York – Ebor Festival
3.00 Ten Bob Tony 6/1 1.5pts each way (4 places)
3.00 Lake Forest 6/1 1pt each way (4 places)
3.35 Love Me Tender 11/2 1.5pts each way (6 places)
3.35 Poetic Sound 40/1 1pt each way (5 places)
4.10 Dance in the Storm 11/4 2pts win
18+, be responsible
Date Posted: Friday August 21, 2026
We’re three days in at the Ebor Festival. The TikTok from Tuesday went viral and plenty of new followers have joined us this week — welcome if you’re new, this is exactly what we do. Let’s have a big day.
1:50 Zennor Storm (7/2) — 1pt win
Haggas yard, Marquand in the saddle. Finished second of 19 at Goodwood last month at 18-1, beaten a length. That run is massively undervalued. Ready to win. 1pt win.
2:25 Caballo De Mar (2/1) — 2pts win
Nine career wins, Group 1 Gold Cup run last time, dropping back in class today with Oisin Murphy. Horses of this quality find things much easier after a test like that. 2pts win.
3:00 Arapaho Gold (11/4) — 1.5pts win
Unbeaten in three this season. OR 104 at two years old. Won at Newbury last month. Hard to oppose. 1.5pts win.
3:35 Nunthorpe Stakes — Bacio (3/1) 1.5pts win + Aint Nobody (40/1) 1pt each way (4 places)
Bacio won at Ascot by four lengths last time. Four. He’s the one. Aint Nobody at 40/1 each way is the big price shot — four places in the Nunthorpe gives him every chance to sneak into the frame.
4:10 Zanndabad (11/1) — 1pt each way (5 places)
AJ Martin’s veteran, five places at 11/1. Each way value play to round off the card.
Good luck. Results as they come in right here.
Date Posted: Thursday August 20, 2026
Day one at the Ebor Festival delivered a winner and a place, and after yesterday’s TikTok took off, welcome to everyone finding Twister Tipster for the first time. The momentum is building — and Day 2 looks even more interesting. Here are four selections.
1:50 — Star of State (2pts win) 5/2
JP O’Brien’s two-year-old filly arrives at York with just two runs behind her, but the quality she’s shown is striking. Her last run at Leopardstown last month was outstanding — a nine-length victory as 1-3 favourite over 6f on good ground. That kind of margin at that level, from one of the most powerful yards in Europe, demands respect. She steps up in class today but O’Brien’s fillies frequently thrive when asked that question. Dylan Browne McMonagle, arguably Europe’s most in-form jockey right now, takes the ride. At 5/2, this is fair market pricing for a horse who hasn’t come close to her ceiling yet. 2pts win.
2:20 — Thebesthasyetocome (1 pt each way, 4 places) 11/1
This is the one. As recently as last night one bookmaker had this two-year-old at 66/1. This morning he’s 11/1. That overnight collapse doesn’t happen without a reason. A Keatley’s colt won well at Ayr last time, taking a 6f contest on soft ground by three and a half lengths as favourite, and while an official rating of 83 looks modest for this level, the money tells a different story entirely. When confidence pours in at this speed and on this scale, it pays to be on the right side of it. 1 pt each way, 4 places.
3:00 — Centigrade (2pts win) 2/1
Ralph Beckett’s four-year-old has a consistent profile at this level — two wins over 1m, comfortable on varying ground, and a last run at Southwell where he beat Star Of The Desert by nearly three lengths at 6-4 favourite. Rossa Ryan rides and the market has him at the head of the pack at 2/1. Solid each-way profile but we’re going for the win here. 2pts win.
3:35 — Minnie Hauk (1 pt each way) 9/2
Ryan Moore. Aidan O’Brien. Course and distance winner. Official rating of 121. Those four things alone make this impossible to leave out. Minnie Hauk was last seen finishing in the Group 1 King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Ascot — no disgrace whatsoever at that level. She’s been brilliantly versatile throughout her career, winning six times from 1m to 1m4f across all ground types. Today represents a step down in class and a return to a track she’s already won at. At 9/2 each way this is excellent value. 1 pt each way.
Follow every update and get all our analysis at twistertipster.substack.com
Good morning – we have new selections including for the York Ebor meeting today. Let’s try to get some winners!
Horse Racing Selections – August 19
York
1.50 Stratusnine 9/1 1pt each way (6 places)
3.35 Ombudsman 5/4 2pts win
4.10 Small Fry 11/4 1.5pts win
5.20 Crystal Queen 16/1 1pt each way (5 places) – price going quickly
That’s it! Good luck!
As promised, some picks for today…
Horse Racing Selections – July 25
York
2.00 Stratusnine 9/2 each way (6 places) 1pt each way
Ascot
2.55 Completely Random 15/2 each way (5 places) 1pt each way
3.35 Calandagan 13/8 win 2pts
18+, be responsible
Posted: 12 June 2026
Two each-way selections for York on Saturday — both in different races, both in large competitive fields with generous place terms. A measured card ahead of Royal Ascot, starting on Tuesday.
Saturday’s card at York is the standout meeting for each-way value. Two handicap races in particular stand out — the 2:25 (Class 3, 7 furlongs, 20 runners, 5 places each way) and the 5:25 (Class 4, 6 furlongs, 22 runners, 5 places each way). Big fields, straight tracks, and generous place terms are exactly what our model is built to exploit.
The going is Good at York (GoingStick 6.8) — a fair surface that suits horses whose form has been built on similar ground.
We’re being deliberate here. One pick per race, two different races, both at prices where the place part does the heavy lifting.
Race: Sky Bet Supporting Macmillan Handicap — Class 3, 7f, Good, 20 runners, 5 places @ 1/5 odds Draw: Stall 18 of 22 declared Trainer: Karl Burke | Jockey: Jack Nicholls (5lb claim) | Age/Weight: 4yo, 9-06 | OR: 85
Recency Bias comes in here on the back of a 2nd last time out and has been remarkably consistent — form figures of 2-1422 show he has placed in five of his last six runs. That’s not a horse who’s struggling; that’s a horse who keeps finding the frame.
The key factors our analysis flagged:
Honest note on the draw: Stall 18 is high in a 20-runner straight 7f race at York, where low draws tend to be favoured. It’s the main negative and is factored into the price. The trainer and form profile override it for us, but it’s not ideal.
Stake: 1pt each way
Race: Class 4 Handicap — 6f, Good, 22 runners, 5 places @ 1/5 odds Draw: Stall 9 of 22 Trainer: Tim Easterby | Jockey: David Allan | Age/Weight: 7yo, 9-09 | OR: 80
Manila Scouse arrives here in excellent form — 2nd last time out, 3rd before that. This is a horse who’s been knocking consistently on the door and is running in a race where five places are paid on 22 runners. The arithmetic is simple: a horse with recent back-to-back placed runs in a big field is exactly what you want for an each-way play.
The key factors our analysis flagged:
Honest note: Manila Scouse is 7 years old — a veteran at this level. He’s consistent and reliable, but improvement may be limited. He’s here as a place machine, not a progressor.
Stake: 1pt each way
| Selection | Race | Time | Odds | Type | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recency Bias | Class 3 Handicap, 7f, York | 2:25 | 9/1 | EW | 1pt |
| Manila Scouse | Class 4 Handicap, 6f, York | 5:25 | 6/1 | EW | 1pt |
Total outlay: 4pts (1pt win + 1pt place × 2 selections)
Since relaunching with our fully AI-powered approach on 9 June, we’re building carefully and only selecting when the data gives us a compelling reason. Golden Muse at 11/2 each way opened the account earlier this week.
Royal Ascot starts on Tuesday June 16 and that’s when we’ll be playing bigger — there are some standout opportunities across the five days. For now, Saturday is about staying active and picking spots with genuine each-way merit.
Results posted as soon as the races run. 🏇
18+ | Please engage with racing responsibly | Past results do not guarantee future returns | twistertipster.com
Two picks for the 5:18 handicap on Friday 12 June, 2026…
Two each-way selections for York tomorrow evening. Both in the 5:18 handicap — a 20-runner field over 10.5 furlongs on good ground, paying 5 places each way.
The 5:18 at York ticks every box for our model. A large field means generous each-way terms (5 places at 1/5 odds), the good ground is consistent and fair for all, and 10.5 furlongs suits horses with a staying profile and genuine stamina. With 20 runners, the pace scenario is unpredictable — which means horses drawn low get a natural advantage by avoiding traffic on a straight track.
Both of our selections are drawn in the bottom four stalls. That matters.
Trainer: Tim Easterby | Jockey: Sean Kirrane | Draw: 4 of 20
Poet’s Dawn won last time out and Easterby has turned him around quickly — that’s a deliberate move from a trainer who knows his horse is in form and wants to strike while the iron is hot. At 11 years old, this horse has clearly found his level and is thriving.
The key factors our analysis flagged:
Stake: 1pt each way
Trainer: Richard & Peter Fahey | Jockey: Barry McHugh | Draw: 3 of 20
Glistening Nights has been knocking on the door — third then second in his last two starts. He’s the safer of the two picks: a horse whose form says he’ll run into a place, trained by one of the most prolific yards in Britain.
The key factors our analysis flagged:
Stake: 1pt each way
| Selection | Race | Odds | Type | Stake |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poet’s Dawn | 5:18 York | 14/1 | EW | 1pt |
| Glistening Nights | 5:18 York | 9/1 | EW | 1pt |
Total outlay: 4pts (1pt win + 1pt place × 2 selections)
Since relaunching with our fully AI-powered approach on 9 June, we’re running at +2.60pts — highlighted by Golden Muse landing at 11/2 each way earlier this week. We’re building carefully and selecting only when the data gives us a compelling reason to act.
Good luck tomorrow. Results posted as soon as the race is run. 🏇
18+ | Please engage with racing responsibly | Past results do not guarantee future returns | twistertipster.com
The final day of the York Dante Festival brings three selections across the card — a proven course performer at a solid price, a big-priced each-way play with the draw in her favour, and a potentially special horse heading towards Royal Ascot.
The low draw bias has been a consistent theme all week at York and today’s selections account for that — stalls 4, 5 and 6 across the three races.
2:55 — HAVE SECRET | 10/1 | 5 places | 1pt each-way | Stall 6
Five wins on good to soft ground, a victory at Pontefract last month and a third place in this exact race earlier this season. Have Secret arrives with genuine York form and conditions that suit. Stall 6 is ideal given this week’s draw bias and five places at 10/1 makes this a well-grounded each-way selection. The form is backed up, the track suits and the draw works in her favour.
1pt each-way @ 10/1 — 5 places
4:40 — NUEVO SLOVO | 40/1 | 5 places | 1pt each-way | Stall 4
The standout each-way value selection of the day. Well handicapped off 91, returning to 5 furlongs which looks the right trip, and drawing stall 4 — the perfect position given this week’s low draw bias at York.
The stable switch to Simon Pearce is the risk but also the opportunity — fresh horses for new trainers often run well and Pearce needs a winner. At 40/1 with five places the each-way mathematics are excellent. If the ability is there, she should comfortably outrun her odds.
1pt each-way @ 40/1 — 5 places
5:15 — PORTCULLIS | Evens | WIN | 2pts win | Stall 5 | William Buick
A Frankel offspring, half-brother to Crown Estate, carrying the colours of the King and Queen with William Buick in the saddle. Portcullis stormed home at Newmarket recently and today looks like the next stop on what could be a very exciting season.
The potential destination is the St James’s Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot — and a convincing win today would announce him as a genuine contender for one of the summer’s most prestigious races. Evens reflects the market’s confidence. The pedigree, the form, the jockey and the occasion all point the same way.
2pts win @ Evens
Total today: 4pts staked across three selections. For live updates follow on X and Bluesky. The AI Golf Bot’s Min Woo Lee is joint leading the PGA Championship at 55/1 after round one — full card on the Twister Tipster Substack, free to subscribe at the link below.
https://twistertipster.substack.com
2:20 — Hammer the Hammer | 8/1 | 6 places | 1pt each-way
An Irish raider that the market may be underestimating. Better than handicap level on his best form, he showed genuine speed at Royal Ascot last year before connections dropped him back in trip. The return to 5 furlongs looks spot on. The key flag here is a recent wind operation — horses returning from wind surgery are consistently underrated by the market and if that has resolved his breathing issues this is a completely different proposition at 8/1.
The one caveat is stall 13 — not ideal given the low draw bias at York this week. We’re taking the risk on the form and the wind op rather than worrying about the draw. At 8/1 with 6 places the each-way value justifies it.
1pt each-way @ 8/1 — 6 places
2:55 — Cerulean Bay | 6/1 | 5 places | 1pt each-way
This one ticks almost every box. Was below his best in the first half of last season but improved significantly as the year went on — that trajectory heading into this campaign is encouraging. Handles courses with bends well, which York suits perfectly, and crucially draws a nice stall in 6.
The clincher is the course form — he finished second here over the same distance last year. He knows the track, handles the trip, and arrives in improving form with a favourable draw. Solid each-way proposition at 6/1.
1pt each-way @ 6/1 — 5 places
4:05 — Action | 11/2 | 3 places | 1pt each-way
The Aidan O’Brien angle alone commands respect — his runners at big meetings carry stable confidence and are rarely without a chance. But there’s genuine form to back this up. Action has performed well in Group 1 company previously, including against Bow Echo who went on to win the 2,000 Guineas, and is closely related to Lambourn, the 2025 Derby winner. The class is not in question.
The key update is the tongue tie being removed today after issues last time out. Tongue tie removal is one of the most consistently positive signals in racing — if that was restricting him previously, today could be a different horse entirely. Stall 7 is a decent draw with no concerns given the track bias.
The only note is that 3 places at 11/2 makes this more of a win-orientated play than the others — factor that in to your expectations.
1pt each-way @ 11/2 — 3 places
Total exposure today: 6pts staked across three each-way bets.
Good luck everyone — updates to follow as the results come in. If you want daily picks and analysis including our AI Golf Bot’s PGA Championship card this week, the Twister Tipster Substack is free to subscribe — link below. 🏇
https://twistertipster.substack.com
Good morning – we have a busy-ish Saturday ahead with lots going on after not much going on in the week. Let’s get to it…
Horse Racing Selections – October 11
York 3.15 Uncle Don 12/1 each way (5 places)
Chepstow 3.20 Royal Infantry 7/2 win
Newmarket (Rowley) 3.40 (Cesarewitch) Hipop de Loire 16/1 each way (6 places)
Newmarket (Rowley) 3.40 (Cesarewitch) Reverend Hubert 9/2 each way (5 places)
Saturday Treble Try
Chepstow 1.35 Ammes
Hexham 3.05 Pismo Beach
Fairyhouse 4.05 High Notions
(4 to 4.5/1 depending where you go – ensure best odds guaranteed)
18+, be responsible
