No new selections today – our golf picks are now in play. Back tomorrow…
Horse Racing and Golf Selections – Thursday May 21, 2026
Tag: golf
CJ Cup Byron Nelson — Our Selections for the PGA Tour’s TPC Craig Ranch
The PGA Tour’s CJ Cup Byron Nelson gets underway Thursday at TPC Craig Ranch, and our AI-powered analysis has identified two outright plays and a first round leader pick worth serious consideration.
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TPC Craig Ranch consistently rewards accuracy over raw distance — five years of data point firmly in one direction. Approach play and driving accuracy are the metrics that matter here, not how far you hit it. Winning scores are deep — mid-to-high twenties under par — so we need players who can sustain scoring across four rounds.
Si Woo Kim — 14/1 EW, 5 places (1pt each way, 2 total) The standout value in the field beyond the obvious favourite. Si Woo’s strokes gained profile is second only to Scheffler in this entire field — his approach play and ball-striking metrics are perfectly aligned with what TPC Craig Ranch demands. He’s a previous winner at this venue and he draws the early wave on Thursday, the ideal conditions in Texas. At 14/1 with five places on offer this is our headline selection.
Jordan Spieth — 16/1 EW, 5 places (1pt each way, 2 total) A Texas native in his home state, and the data backs up the intuition. Strong approach play, balanced strokes gained profile, and a proven record in Texas events across his career. Spieth’s ceiling when his short game clicks is as high as anyone in this field. Five places at 16/1 gives excellent each-way coverage. Worth ensuring the best available price as this one may shorten.
Keith Mitchell FRL (First Round Leader) — 45/1 EW, 6 places (1pt each way, 2 total) The first round leader pick is built around one key factor — Mitchell tees off at 07:11, one of the earliest slots in the entire field. In Texas in May, morning conditions are significantly calmer and cooler than the afternoon. His strokes gained profile fits — solid off the tee, strong iron play — and he’s a known fast starter who historically over-performs in opening rounds. Six places at 1/5 gives that extra safety net. The extra place is the reason to seek out the best terms on this one.
Glory Double — Mitchell FRL + Si Woo Kim (0.25pt each way, 0.5 total) For those interested in the combined selection, some platforms offer this as a linked double at around 503/1. Most providers no longer offer this market so availability is limited — worth checking before Thursday morning.
Please play responsibly — 18+. Full analysis and all selections at twistertipster.com. Subscribe on Substack for every pick.
Monday Horse Racing Selections – 18 May 2026
A quick look back at the PGA Championship before we move forward. Mixed feelings — Rahm and Schauffele both placed and we very nearly broke even on the week, which in a Major field of 150+ players is far from a disaster. Rahm in particular looked like he had the tools to win it but couldn’t quite close the gap on Rai down the stretch. A few things went against us but the analysis was sound and the model identified two of the players who genuinely contended.
On to more positive things — the CJ Cup Byron Nelson at TPC Craig Ranch starts Thursday. We’ll have our full data-backed analysis and selections published Wednesday. Watch this space.
For today, two selections across the UK and Ireland evening cards.
Counting Cards — 3:00 Carlisle — 8/1 each way, 4 places (1pt) Back down to 5f and racing off a mark of 70 which looks very workable. Raced too keenly last time at Musselburgh but the headgear comes off today which should help significantly. Trainer Edward Bethell has an excellent record at Carlisle and that’s a major positive. Each-way chance with four places on offer.
Syzygy — 6:50 Roscommon — 9/4 (1pt) A standout on the card. Won a hat-trick last season including over a similar race at the Curragh, and her performance in the Irish Lincoln this season marks her out as the one to beat here. Back up in distance which suits. Should be there or thereabouts — worth ensuring best odds guaranteed in case of any market drift before the off.
Please play responsibly — 18+
PGA Championship First-Round Leader Pick: The AI Bot Targets an Early Mover (Wednesday May 13, 2026)
Tee times are confirmed for the PGA Championship and the Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor has locked in its first-round leader selections.
The model — which has returned +30.37pts profit and a 114.6% ROI across its first two tournaments, including finding Hojgaard at 50/1 for a place last week — has identified two FRL plays for today’s opening round. We’re sharing one here. The second pick, plus a glory double opportunity that returns over £1,000 on a £2.50 stake, is live now on the Twister Tipster Substack. Subscribe there for regular AI golf bot picks.
🏌️ XANDER SCHAUFFELE — 1pt each-way FRL @ 33/1 (7 places)
Schauffele is already on our outright card this week and the FRL model is entirely consistent with that view. He draws an 8:29am tee time — out early before wind and showers build through the afternoon — and his first-round leader profile is one of the strongest in the field. At 33/1 with 7 places on offer this is exceptional each-way value for a player who arrives at a major as one of the genuine title contenders.
The model likes him to go low early. So do we.
Bet: 1pt each-way @ 33/1 — 7 places
The second FRL pick is on the Substack PLUS some MASSIVE odds glory doubles!
It is a player with the strongest non-Scheffler FRL profile in the entire model, an early tee time before conditions deteriorate, and 20/1 on offer each-way with 5 places.
The glory doubles — including one that returns over 1,000 of your currency on a 2.50 each-way unit stake if it lands — are also exclusively on the Substack.
The AI Golf Bot has found winners and big-priced places in each of its first two tournaments. The PGA Championship card is its most ambitious yet.
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Xander Schauffele
PGA Championship Picks: The AI Golf Bot That Found a 50/1 Place Last Week Has Four Selections for the Major (Tuesday May 12, 2026)
An AI golf model that has returned +30.37pts profit and a 114.6% ROI from its first two tournaments just produced its PGA Championship card.
Last week at the Truist Championship, the Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor identified Nicolai Hojgaard at 50/1 for a place. Full return. Nine points from a single pick. The week before, at the Cadillac Championship, it found Cameron Young as both the outright winner at 11/1 and the first-round leader at 20/1. Both landed.
Now it’s turned its attention to the biggest event of the US golf calendar.
The model has produced four outright selections for the PGA Championship, all at 1pt each-way with 8 places on offer. We’re sharing two of them here. The full four-pick card — including the 55/1 value play the model has identified — is available exclusively on the Twister Tipster Substack. Free to subscribe, link here.
🏌️ CAMERON YOUNG — 11/1 (8 places)
The bot has liked Young since day one and keeps coming back to him for good reason. Three tournaments in, three cards featuring his name — and he’s delivered every time. Strong win probability, excellent place profile, and a ball-striking game built for a longer, demanding major setup. The cooler, breezier conditions forecast for the opening two rounds suit him down to the ground.
At 11/1 with 8 places in a major field, he represents genuine each-way value. The AI keeps saying his name. We keep listening.
Bet: 1pt each-way @ 11/1 — 8 places
🏌️ JON RAHM — 14/1 (8 places)
Former world number one. Multiple major champion. A player built for exactly the kind of setup this week’s course demands. The model rates his win probability, top-10 profile, and course-fit adjustment as among the strongest in the field — and at 14/1 there is genuine outright interest here, not just place hopes.
When Rahm is on form at a major, he is as hard to beat as anyone in the game. The model agrees.
Bet: 1pt each-way @ 14/1 — 8 places
Want the full card?
The remaining two picks — including Xander Schauffele and a 55/1 value selection the model has identified as its standout each-way play of the tournament — are live now on the Twister Tipster Substack.
First-round leader picks drop tomorrow once tee times are confirmed, exclusively for subscribers. Subscribe now for free – takes seconds to stick your email in the box on the article.
The bot has returned +114.6% ROI across its first two tournaments. The PGA Championship card is its strongest yet.
Subscribe free at the link here and get every pick straight to your inbox — before the first tee shot.
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Our AI Golf Bot Found Another 50/1 Winner… And It’s Just Getting Started – Monday May 11, 2026
There are weeks in betting that remind you why you do this. This weekend was one of them…
While the horse racing was frustrating — fine margins, as ever — the Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor quietly put in one of its best performances yet. The headline: Nicolai Hojgaard at 50/1, placed at the Truist Championship. One pick. Nine points returned on a one-point each-way stake.
But that’s just the weekend. Step back and look at the bigger picture and the numbers become genuinely hard to ignore.
The AI Golf Bot — Two Weeks In
We launched the Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor at the start of the PGA Tour season with a simple idea: use AI modelling to identify value picks across outright winners, first-round leaders, and place opportunities that the market underestimates.
Two weeks in, here’s where we stand:
- Week 1 (Cadillac Championship): +31.20pts. Cameron Young identified as both outright winner at 11/1 and first-round leader at 20/1 — both landed.
- Week 2 (Truist Championship + Catalunya): The bot found Hojgaard at 50/1 for a place, and Ludvig Aberg at 11/1 for a place. A tough week overall but those two picks did the damage.
- All-time P&L: +30.37pts from 26.5pts staked — a return on investment of +114.6%.
Two tournaments. Two outright winners and three place returns. The AI model isn’t just finding winners at short prices — it’s identifying big-priced selections that others are missing.
This Weekend’s Highlights
The Truist Championship produced three placed selections from the AI bot’s card: Hojgaard (50/1), Aberg (11/1), and Cameron Young (7/1, shared place). In any individual week that would represent excellent each-way value. Combined with Week 1’s clean sweep on Cameron Young, the AI predictor is building a track record that speaks for itself.
What’s Next — The PGA Championship
The PGA Championship is one of the four majors and one of the biggest betting events in golf. The field is deeper, the prices are bigger, and the opportunities for the AI model to find value are greater than in any regular Tour event.
We’ll be publishing our full AI Golf Predictor card for the PGA Championship exclusively on the Twister Tipster Substack — outright picks, first-round leader selections, each-way value plays, and the glory double. If the Cadillac and Truist are anything to go by, you’ll want to be there.
The majors are where reputations are made. We’ll see you there.
Nicolai Hojgaard
Golf Picks Still In Play — Sunday Truist & Catalunya Update (Sunday, May 10 2026)
It’s been a tough week on the racing, but the golf could yet turn things around. Three selections are still live heading into Sunday’s final rounds, and at least two of them have genuine winning chances.
Nicolai Hojgaard — Truist Championship (50/1, 6 places) This was always a pick with upside and he’s delivered. Hojgaard is right in contention at the Truist Championship and at 50/1 an outright win would be a significant return. He’s playing with confidence and the closing holes suit his game. Still very much alive.
Cam Young — Truist Championship (7/1, 10 places) Young has been one of the standout performers this week and is near the top of the leaderboard. A strong closer with plenty of experience in Sunday pressure situations. Keep an eye on him through the back nine.
Oliver Lindell — Catalunya Championship, Barcelona (28/1, 8 places) Over on the DP World Tour, Lindell is in contention for a place finish at the Catalunya Championship. Down a touch in the rankings but playing well on a course that suits him. At 28/1 a place return would be very welcome.
Three darts still in the air — updates to follow as the rounds conclude.
Twister AI Golf Predictor: First Round Leader Picks Now Locked
The Twister AI Golf Predictor has now locked its first-round leader picks for this week.
After landing Cameron Young as both outright winner and first-round leader on the soft-launch card last week, we have taken the same approach this week: wait for the tee times, check the likely weather windows, then finalise the FRL selections.
The main focus is the Truist Championship, with two smaller bonus FRL plays added for the Estrella Damm Catalunya Championship in Barcelona.
Truist Championship FRL Picks
Rory McIlroy — 1pt each-way (14/1, 6 places)
Rory McIlroy is the first Truist first-round leader selection.
He was left off the main outright card because the outright price looked short, but the FRL market is different. For one round, Rory has an obvious chance.
He has a strong Quail Hollow profile, excellent course history and the type of power game that fits the course. His tee time also looks useful, with the model preferring his window once weather and draw were factored in.
Selection: Rory McIlroy — 1pt each-way FRL
Min Woo Lee — 1pt each-way (40/1, 5 places)
Min Woo Lee is the second Truist FRL pick.
The model likes his mix of course fit, scoring upside and tee-time position. He has the sort of explosive profile that can work well in a first-round leader market, where one hot round is enough.
Selection: Min Woo Lee — 1pt each-way FRL
Barcelona FRL Picks – DP World Tour Catalunya Championship
The two smaller Barcelona FRL plays are:
- Jayden Schaper — 0.5pt each-way
- Angel Ayora — 0.5pt each-way
Both are 33/1 each way for 6 places – they fit the model well and both get favourable early tee-time windows.
Tiny Glory Double
The small-stakes Twister AI Glory Double for this week is:
Rory McIlroy FRL + Xander Schauffele outright winner — 0.25pt each way (around 125/1)
This is just a fun side play, not part of the main staking plan.
Full Selections and Reasoning
The full Week 2 card, including the main Truist outright picks, Barcelona selections, FRL picks and staking notes, is available on Substack:
Please gamble responsibly. These are experimental selections, not guaranteed returns. 18+ only.
Rory McIlroy
Twister AI Golf Predictor Landed a Winner and FRL — Now It Goes Again
The Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor could not have started much better.
In its first proper soft-launch test, the model selected Cameron Young for the Cadillac Championship. Not only did Young go on to win the tournament, he also landed as a first-round leader pick.
Winner and FRL on the first card.
That is a ridiculous start — but we are keeping our feet on the ground.
This is still an experiment. The aim is not to claim the model has solved golf betting. The aim is to build a smart, disciplined weekly golf predictor that uses data, course fit, price, form, tee times and weather to identify the best value plays.
This week, the model moves on to the Truist Championship at Quail Hollow.
It is a fascinating test because Quail Hollow appears to favour powerful players who can gain off the tee, while still demanding strong approach play. That means the model has been looking closely at driving distance, overall win probability, top-10/top-20 strength and market value.
We have locked the four main outright selections for the Truist Championship, plus two smaller DP World Tour bonus plays in Barcelona. These will also now start to form part of the overall P&L record going forward.
Two of the names on this week’s Truist card are:
- Xander Schauffele
- Cameron Young
The full card includes:
- 4 Truist Championship outright picks
- 2 DP World Tour Barcelona bonus picks
- staking notes
- reasoning for every selection
- FRL picks to follow once tee times/weather are confirmed
The first-round leader picks are being held back until Round 1 tee times are available. That is deliberate. FRL betting is very sensitive to weather waves, and after last week’s success, we are sticking to the process rather than guessing early.
To get the full Week 2 card, sign up here:
The AI predictor started with a bang. Now we see if it can keep finding value.
Please gamble responsibly. Experimental selections only. 18+.
Xander Schauffele
Horse Racing Selections – Monday May 4, 2026
No selections today – bank holiday in the UK and busy with the family. Day off! Back tomorrow…
The golf AI took successfully picked Cam Young as the 11/1 winner of the Cadillac Championship – sign up to get alerts for that took at the Substack here. It’s free!
