Tag: pga golf

CJ Cup Byron Nelson — Our Selections for the PGA Tour’s TPC Craig Ranch

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The PGA Tour’s CJ Cup Byron Nelson gets underway Thursday at TPC Craig Ranch, and our AI-powered analysis has identified two outright plays and a first round leader pick worth serious consideration.

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TPC Craig Ranch consistently rewards accuracy over raw distance — five years of data point firmly in one direction. Approach play and driving accuracy are the metrics that matter here, not how far you hit it. Winning scores are deep — mid-to-high twenties under par — so we need players who can sustain scoring across four rounds.

Si Woo Kim — 14/1 EW, 5 places (1pt each way, 2 total) The standout value in the field beyond the obvious favourite. Si Woo’s strokes gained profile is second only to Scheffler in this entire field — his approach play and ball-striking metrics are perfectly aligned with what TPC Craig Ranch demands. He’s a previous winner at this venue and he draws the early wave on Thursday, the ideal conditions in Texas. At 14/1 with five places on offer this is our headline selection.

Jordan Spieth — 16/1 EW, 5 places (1pt each way, 2 total) A Texas native in his home state, and the data backs up the intuition. Strong approach play, balanced strokes gained profile, and a proven record in Texas events across his career. Spieth’s ceiling when his short game clicks is as high as anyone in this field. Five places at 16/1 gives excellent each-way coverage. Worth ensuring the best available price as this one may shorten.

Keith Mitchell FRL (First Round Leader) — 45/1 EW, 6 places (1pt each way, 2 total) The first round leader pick is built around one key factor — Mitchell tees off at 07:11, one of the earliest slots in the entire field. In Texas in May, morning conditions are significantly calmer and cooler than the afternoon. His strokes gained profile fits — solid off the tee, strong iron play — and he’s a known fast starter who historically over-performs in opening rounds. Six places at 1/5 gives that extra safety net. The extra place is the reason to seek out the best terms on this one.

Glory Double — Mitchell FRL + Si Woo Kim (0.25pt each way, 0.5 total) For those interested in the combined selection, some platforms offer this as a linked double at around 503/1. Most providers no longer offer this market so availability is limited — worth checking before Thursday morning.

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Photo by tyler hendy on Pexels.com

Our AI Golf Bot Found Another 50/1 Winner… And It’s Just Getting Started – Monday May 11, 2026

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There are weeks in betting that remind you why you do this. This weekend was one of them…

While the horse racing was frustrating — fine margins, as ever — the Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor quietly put in one of its best performances yet. The headline: Nicolai Hojgaard at 50/1, placed at the Truist Championship. One pick. Nine points returned on a one-point each-way stake.

But that’s just the weekend. Step back and look at the bigger picture and the numbers become genuinely hard to ignore.

The AI Golf Bot — Two Weeks In

We launched the Twister Tipster AI Golf Predictor at the start of the PGA Tour season with a simple idea: use AI modelling to identify value picks across outright winners, first-round leaders, and place opportunities that the market underestimates.

Two weeks in, here’s where we stand:

  • Week 1 (Cadillac Championship): +31.20pts. Cameron Young identified as both outright winner at 11/1 and first-round leader at 20/1 — both landed.
  • Week 2 (Truist Championship + Catalunya): The bot found Hojgaard at 50/1 for a place, and Ludvig Aberg at 11/1 for a place. A tough week overall but those two picks did the damage.
  • All-time P&L: +30.37pts from 26.5pts staked — a return on investment of +114.6%.

Two tournaments. Two outright winners and three place returns. The AI model isn’t just finding winners at short prices — it’s identifying big-priced selections that others are missing.

This Weekend’s Highlights

The Truist Championship produced three placed selections from the AI bot’s card: Hojgaard (50/1), Aberg (11/1), and Cameron Young (7/1, shared place). In any individual week that would represent excellent each-way value. Combined with Week 1’s clean sweep on Cameron Young, the AI predictor is building a track record that speaks for itself.

What’s Next — The PGA Championship

The PGA Championship is one of the four majors and one of the biggest betting events in golf. The field is deeper, the prices are bigger, and the opportunities for the AI model to find value are greater than in any regular Tour event.

We’ll be publishing our full AI Golf Predictor card for the PGA Championship exclusively on the Twister Tipster Substack — outright picks, first-round leader selections, each-way value plays, and the glory double. If the Cadillac and Truist are anything to go by, you’ll want to be there.

Subscribe to the Twister Tipster Substack now — it’s free — and get the PGA Championship AI Golf Predictor card delivered straight to your inbox.

The majors are where reputations are made. We’ll see you there.

Nicolai Hojgaard

Golf Tips of the Week – w/c 11 December 2023

This week we are off to lovely Mauritius for the DP World Tour AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open.

Here are the two picks for this week…

Golf Tips of the Week – AfrAsia Bank Mauritius Open December 14-17 2023

Antoine Rozner 18/1 each way (7 places Paddy Power/Betway, 8 places BoyleSports)

Rozner comes into this having won last year’s tournament at Mont Choisy and finished third two years before at the Heritage Golf Club, where this is taking place this time. Given his form at this tournament, it would be wise to make a play and hope for a repeat performance from the Frenchman.

Sebastian Soderberg 28/1 each way (7 places Paddy Power/Betfair Sportsbook)

The Swede has been knocking on the door having come sixth at Sun City last month. This course could be an ideal place for him to step up and put his swing into full effect. So, let’s take an each way punt here at decent odds – like his chances.

Image below: Antoine Rozner; Source: Wikipedia